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MultiService Switch Market on the Edge of a Turnaround [Back to News Reports]

22nd March 2004 - MultiService switch sales continued to decline in 2003, however, In-Stat/MDR expects that the market will turn around in 2004. The year 2003 was the third consecutive year of declining MultiService switch sales, with worldwide sales dropping 16% from 2002. According to the high-tech market research firm, much of this decline, over the past few years, can be attributed to service providers having over-invested in equipment during the bubble of the late 1990s through 2000, as well as the weakened financial position of many service providers, and the collapse of competitive carriers.

In 2003, service providers continued to invest cautiously in new equipment, primarily adding new interface cards to handle new customers and increased traffic growth. In-Stat/MDR expects the MultiService switch market to turn around in 2004. Sales began to increase in the latter half of 2003, as service providers had worked off much of the excess capacity that existed in their networks. Various areas of opportunity that will drive future MultiService switch sales include continued Frame Relay and ATM traffic growth, ATM aggregation of DSLAM traffic, the implementation of IP VPN services with MultiService Switches, the building of wireless infrastructure based on packet voice/data, the evolution to Voice over IP networks, and an increase in video surveillance applications.

In-Stat/MDR also reports that:

  • The major MultiService switch vendors are Nortel, Lucent, Cisco, Alcatel, Marconi, and Ericsson. In 2003, Nortel held the leading position in sales for the third consecutive year, increasing its market share of total MultiService switch sales to 34%.

  • In-Stat/MDR expects that sales will grow 11% in 2004, because of an upturn from a relatively low level of sales in 2003. For the five-year period, the firm forecasts a CAGR of 8.6% in total sales.

This Market Alert is drawn from the In-Stat/MDR report, "MultiService Switch Market on the Edge of a Turnaround", which describes worldwide MultiService switch sales to service providers and enterprises in 2003, along with the market shares of equipment vendors. Sales are also segmented into ATM/IP/MPLS vs. Frame Relay sales. The impact of service provider evolution to converged MPLS core networks is discussed. Key areas of opportunity that will drive future MultiService switch sales are highlighted. Five-year forecasts of the total market, segmented into sales to service providers and enterprises, are presented. The report gives detailed profiles and competitive analysis of all of the major MultiService switch vendors, as well as, five key other vendors in this market. The report also profiles a leading service provider, Verizon, providing perspectives on how MultiService switches have been used in their network, and their future needs for this equipment.

 

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