| 23rd June - WiMAX's early success in emerging markets is crucial
to ensuring the long-term prospects for the technology, according
to a new report from Senza Fili Consulting, "WiMAX: Ambitions
and reality. A detailed market assessment and forecast at the
global, regional and country level (2006-2012)."
The gradual introduction of portability and mobility in fixed
deployments and the performance improvement from MIMO will
establish WiMAX as a mature technology and enable it to more
effectively compete against LTE.
Eventually the best growth prospects for WiMAX are tied to
the rollout of mobile services. "The recent inclusion
of WiMAX as an IMT-2000 technology will enable mobile operators
to deploy it more widely, but the mobile market will take
longer than the fixed one to grow, because most mobile operators
do not yet need a data-only wireless network to complement
their 3G networks," said Monica Paolini, author of the
report.
By 2012, 61% of WiMAX subscribers will use the technology
for mobile access. A third of them will also use WiMAX as
a fixed-access technology. WiMAX subscribers will be able
to use a single access technology for all the broadband and
voice services they need. This flexibility will provide a
great differentiator for WiMAX operators and gives them the
opportunity to roll out innovative services.
Mobile broadband has the potential to become as pervasive
as mobile voice is today and WiMAX is one of the technologies
that can take mobile broadband to the mass market. Device
availability is the next biggest challenge. "To motivate
subscribers to sign up for service, operators need compelling
devices with new form factors, ranging from CE devices for
developed markets to basic portable-data devices for emerging
markets," Paolini said. "But so far vendors are
still searching for an innovative vision for the development
of WiMAX devices," she added.
This report includes an assessment of the global WiMAX market
and an in-depth forecast of fixed and mobile broadband subscribers,
fixed and mobile WiMAX subscribers, data and VoIP service
revenues, device types, and equipment revenues for infrastructure
and devices. Detailed data is presented for 16 countries,
7 regions and for the worldwide market.
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