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US Mobile video users to climb to 74m by 2015. Mobile TV via ATSC M/H to significantly
impact FLO TV, research shows [Back
to News Reports] 12th January -
Coda Research Consultancy’s newly released report into US mobile video and TV
reveals that Americans accessing video content via their mobile phones will climb
to 74m in 2015 and create traffic totaling 145 terabytes per month. |
| Americans
accessing video content via mobile broadband onto laptops and netbooks will total
24m, and create traffic totaling 311 terabytes per month. Americans accessing
TV content via ATSC M/H will reach 18m by 2015. Dr Steve Smith, the reports
author, observes that ATSC M/H will hit FLO TV on three fronts: cost, devices
and content. FLO TV and its devices are prohibitively expensive, especially
when compared with free ATSC M/H content. |
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Competition between
mobile phone manufacturers will drive down costs of ATSC M/H devices and provide
a wider variety of devices for users. In terms of content, although FLO TV tries
to differentiate itself from ATSC M/H by showing programs from national networks,
many of the local networks available via ATSC offer such programs. We therefore
see these standards as competitive, not complementary. The report
goes on to argue that although video via carrier networks will exist alongside
broadcast mobile TV, mobile video user growth will be steeper because it enables
greater content variety, more control for users, more niche programming, and greater
opportunities for personalization and advertising. However, Smith points out that
growth will be linear rather than exponential: Viewing video on small devices
out of home is new. Its different from cameras and MP3 players on phones
because people were already taking photos and listening to music on other devices
whilst out and about. Nevertheless, mobile phones are things people always carry
with them and use for a variety of activities - texting, social networking, mobile
web and so on. The challenge for service providers is to create the kinds of services
people want and to help people make the transition from what they are currently
doing on their phones to something entirely new. |
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| Smith
adds that 4G roll out and smartphones will be significant in helping drive mobile
video take-up. Research shows that smartphones are not only used by more
advanced users, they actually help stimulate advanced use. Also, growth of video
applications and larger, haptic screens on smartphones will increase take-up.
The importance that smartphones will have for mobile video take-up is indicated
by the increase in ownership, which will rise to 132m in 2015. By then, smartphones
will account for 64% of all mobile phone sales. In the meantime, considerable
hindrances need to be overcome that the report says will only be resolved slowly
over the next three to five years. For users, these include costs related to content,
devices and mobile internet; reliability; speed; and lack of control and the kinds
of content users want to watch. For service providers, these include slow returns
on investment. In terms of monetisation, Smith proposes an advertising subsidized
subscription model. Its not an either/or scenario. Our research shows
that subscription fees are too high, but also that an advertising only
model will not bring in the returns required. Supplementing subscriptions with
advertising will enable lower subscription costs, with the additional effect of
increasing subscribers. The report Mobile Video and TV in the US:
An Assessment forms part of Coda Research Consultancys Mobilities
project. | | | |
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